Politics

Political Strategist, Eddy Ademosu Forecasts Winner Of 2023 Presidential Election

LAGOS – A political strategist and brand Manager, Otunba Eddy Ademosu has predicted a slight victory for the PDP Presidential candidate for the February 25, 2023 presidential election.

Eddy, whose political calculation and prediction saw former President Goodluck Jonathan winning the 2011 Presidential election has given insight into the 2023 political foray and likely winner of the Presidential election.

According to him, the PDP candidate, Atiku Abubakar will clear 13 states including the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), while APC and Labour Party will shared the second spot with 10 states each, leaving Kwankwaso’s NNPP with three states.

Below are his analysis via the Reality.com App.

THE REALITY.COM FORECAST FOR FEB 25TH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:

Bearing any unforeseen postponement or cancellation of the Election next Saturday, 25th Feb, 2023, the following forecasts are near certain:.

1. South South ZONE (6 STATES):
a) LP –  Above 60% of Total Votes in the 6 States
b) PDP –  25 % of Total Votes in at least TWO (2) of the 6 States
c) APC/ Others – Less than 25% of the Total Votes in the 6 States.

POSITION: LP will clear at least 4 States in the zone with HIGHEST VOTES followed by PDP with the possibility of getting *TWO States*. APC will come a distance 3rd without winning a *SINGLE State*, and others taking varying positions in terms of votes only.

2. South East ZONE (5 STATES):
a) LP –  Above 70% of Total Votes in the 5 States
b) PDP –  25 % of Total Votes in at least ONE  of the 5 States
c) APC/ Others – Less than 25% of the Total Votes in the 5 States.

POSITION: LP will clear ALL the *5 States* in the zone with HIGHEST VOTES followed by PDP with the possibility of getting  *25% in of ONE the States*. APC will come a distance 3rd without winning a *SINGLE State or securing 25% votes in any of the 5 States*, and others taking varying positions in terms of votes only.

3. North West ZONE (7 STATES):
a) LP –  25% of the Total Votes in only TWO (2) States of the zone
b) PDP – Over 60% of Total Votes in at least FIVE (5) of the 7 States
c) APC- Over 25% of the Total Votes in the 3 States.
d) NNPP – Over 60% of the Total Votes in at least TWO STATES of the zone

POSITION: PDP will clear at least *4 States* in the zone with HIGHEST VOTES followed by NNPP with the possibility of getting *TWO States*. APC will come 3rd with *ONE STATE*, and others taking varying positions in terms of votes only.

4. North East ZONE (6 STATES)
a) LP –  25% of the Total Votes in only ONE State of the zone
b) PDP – Over 60% of Total Votes in at least  FOUR (4) of the 6 States
c) APC- Over 60% of the Total Votes in TWO (2) of the  States.
d) NNPP – Over 60% of the Total Votes in at least ONE STATES of the zone

POSITION: PDP will clear at least *3 States* in the zone with HIGHEST VOTES followed by APC with the possibility of getting *TWO States*. NNPP will come 3rd with *ONE STATE*, and others taking varying positions in terms of votes only.

5. North Central ZONE (6 STATES)
a) LP –   Over 50% of the Total Votes in only TWO (2) States of the zone
b) PDP – Over 50% of Total Votes in at least  TWO (2) of the 6 States
c) APC- Over 50% of the Total Votes in TWO (2) of the  States.
d) NNPP – Over 25% of the Total Votes in at least TWO STATES of the zone

POSITION: The Zone is too close to call among *LP ( winning 2 States),  PDP (winning 2 States) , and APC (winning 2 States) of  the zone*. Others taking varying positions in terms of votes only.

6. South West ZONE (6 STATES)
a) LP –   Over 40% of the Total Votes in only TWO (2) States of the zone
b) PDP – Over 50% of Total Votes in at least  TWO (2) of the 6 States
c) APC- Over 60% of the Total Votes in ALL SIX States of the zone
d) Other parties – Less than 25%

POSITION: APC will clear at least *FIVE (5) States* of the zone with HIGHEST Total Votes.
PDP is likely to clinch *ONE State* in the zone with at least 25% Total Votes in 2 other States of Ondo & Ogun.
LP will only get 25% of the total votes in 2 States of Lagos and Oyo

7. FCT
a) LP – 20% of Total Votes
b) PDP – 50% of the Total Votes
c) APC – 30% of Total Votes

POSITION: PDP will win the FCT with HIGHEST TOTAL VOTES

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF OUTRIGHT WINNING STATES PER ZONES & FCT:

1. SOUTH SOUTH ZONE:
a) LP – 4 States
b) PDP – 2 States
c) APC – NIL

2. SOUTH EAST ZONE:
a) LP – 4 States
b) PDP – 1 State.
c) APC – NIL

3. NORTH WEST ZONE:
a) LP – NIL
b) PDP – 4 States
c) NNPP – 2 States
d) APC – 1 State

4. NORTH EAST ZONE:
a) LP – NIL
b) PDP – 3 States
c) NNPP – 1 State
d) APC – 2 States

5. NORTH CENTRAL ZONE:
a) LP – 2 States
b) PDP – 2 Ststes
c) APC – 2 States

6. SOUTH WEST ZONE:
a) LP – .NiL
b) PDP – 1 State
c) APC –  5 States

7. FCT:
a) LP – NIL
b) PDP – WINNER
c) APC – NIL

*TOTAL OUTLOOK*:
a) LP – 10 States
b) PDP – 13 plus FCT
c) APC – 10 States
d) NNPP – 3 States

*NB: PDP is more likely to WIN the 2023 Presidential Election on the long run, all things being equal*

(Courtesy of REALITY.COM OF MC-CLIQUE BRANDS ASSOCIATES @ FEB 18TH, 2023)

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